Sector Watch
A Packed Week: Big Tech, Central Banks, And A Ceasefire That Does Not Hold
Five Mag 7 prints, four central banks, and a ceasefire that keeps not holding. What we are watching this week.
Our Investment Practice
Every position is evaluated through three lenses — macro, fundamental, and technical — by an internal research committee that meets on a standing schedule. Nothing enters a portfolio on conviction alone.
What we publish here comes out of that same work. These are not market calls or client newsletters. They are the notes behind allocations we have actually made, with the reasoning and the downside stated plainly.
Stock Analysis
2026 Q1 Earnings Season Roadmap
Why a beat no longer moves a stock, what our own positions are already telling us, and why we're taking profits into cash.
Global Markets
Iran Pulled the Trigger. China Will Bleed.
China Imports 40% of Its Oil and 30% of Its LNG Through That Strait. The U.S. Imports Almost None. Twenty Years of Work Towards Energy Independence Was Never an Accident.
Stock Analysis
Is the earnings bar dead?
We ran 44 earnings events across five mega-cap tech names. Does beating expectations correlation with stock pricing in the AI/CapEx era?
Tactical Allocation
The Ceasefire Changes the Macro. It Doesn't Change the CapEx Cycle.
Markets bought the ceasefire headline. We're buying what the war mispriced.
Portfolio Strategy
The Core Held. Here's What We Did With It.
Q1 2026: What the Core Did While Everything Else Broke.
Commodities
Oil's Moment: The Iran Premium Is Back
Crude markets have repriced. The question is how far — and how fast — the disruption holds.
Economic Commentary
The Price of Admission
The Supreme Court struck down IEEPA tariffs. Four days later, there's a new 15% universal surcharge. The trade war didn't end — it changed legal vehicles.
Fed & Rates
Will a New Fed Chair Change the Rules of the Game?
What Kevin Warsh's Fed Chair Nomination Means for Your Capital.
Tactical Allocation
Memory: What's your flavor?
Not all memory is created equal — and the market is still pricing HBM like it is.